Arbitrage in Unexpected Places: Xbox One Kinects

Logan Jorgensen
5 min readApr 23, 2023

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How I Made Money Buying and Selling Xbox One Kinects in High School

Introduction

Arbitrage is the practice of exploiting price differences between markets, and to most typically brings to mind images of currency traders buying euros in London and selling them in Tokyo, or traders arbitraging commodity prices between different exchanges, or something deeply technical and complex performed by teams of dozens sat in front of computer monitors. Yet sometimes the most profitable opportunities appear in rather unexpected places. During my high school years, I discovered one such niche opportunity that would teach me lasting lessons about market dynamics and business strategy.

The Discovery

It all started during a museum visit while I was in high school, where I encountered an interactive exhibit that caught my attention: visitors would stand in front of a sensor, wave their arms around, and watch as a robotic arm mimicked their exact movements. I looked a bit closer and was surprised to recognize it as a Kinect — Microsoft’s motion-tracking device that I had only known as an Xbox One gaming peripheral. The museum had repurposed it to translate human arm movements into precise robotic control in real-time. This clever use of a ‘gaming accessory’ as a sophisticated motion capture device sparked my curiosity. I began researching other potential uses of the Kinect outside of gaming, which led me to discover its alternative use cases in research and professional settings.

The Kinect was developed by Microsoft as a sophisticated motion sensor for the Xbox One gaming console. What made it special was its high-quality camera array and depth sensors, capable of capturing detailed 3D movements. At the time, comparable sensor technology could cost thousands of dollars in professional equipment. The Kinect, even at retail price, was dramatically cheaper while offering similar capabilities. This made it an attractive alternative for researchers and professionals who needed high-quality motion tracking and depth sensing for applications ranging from motion capture to medical imaging, 3D scanning, and robotics control.

Market Research and Opportunity

Recognizing the disconnect between consumer and professional market perspectives, I began systematically researching the Kinect market. As Microsoft wound down support for Kinect-based games on Xbox, frustrated gamers were increasingly selling their devices, considering them obsolete. Meanwhile, these same devices held significant value for professional users.

I focused my research on two specific marketplaces. First, I analyzed completed sales on eBay to understand current market prices and potential selling points. Second, I monitored Goodwill’s online auction website to track the supply of available devices. Through this research, I discovered a significant price disparity — Kinects were selling for remarkably low prices on Goodwill’s platform, where regular consumers typically donated their (seemingly unvaluable) unwanted gaming equipment. Meanwhile, on eBay, where the professional and research community typically and actively searched for these devices, they were commanding substantially higher prices — though still far cheaper than traditional professional sensor equipment.

This price gap between the general consumer market and the specialized professional market presented a perfect arbitrage opportunity. The challenge would be executing it effectively.

Executing the Plan

My approach to capitalizing on this opportunity was methodical. To ensure consistent profitability, I set strict guidelines for myself related to purchasing and selling process:

1 — Purchasing Controls

  • Analyzed completed eBay sales to establish maximum bidding thresholds
  • Set firm price limits based on a minimum 30% profit margin after accounting for:
    - Initial purchase price
    - Estimated shipping costs
    - eBay’s commission fees
  • Focused on Goodwill auctions with lower competition (essentially less liquid market)
  • Maintained detailed records of all costs

2 — Sales Strategy

  • Listed devices on eBay immediately after receipt
  • Priced items at a 30–50% premium over my total costs
  • Monitored ongoing market prices to adjust up or down as needed to remain competitive

This process worked successfully for several months. However, as is taught in many finance courses around the world, markets tend to inevitably trend toward efficiency. Over time, eventually the price gap between Goodwill auctions and eBay gradually narrowed until the arbitrage opportunity was no longer viable.

Lessons Learned

This situation taught me several enduring business principles:

  1. Market perspective: The success of this venture came from seeing what others didn’t — that a “discontinued gaming peripheral” was actually valuable research equipment. Sometimes the biggest opportunities come from understanding multiple market perspectives.
  2. Pricing discipline: Setting strict purchase thresholds and guidelines based on real completed sales data, not speculation or hope, was pretty important for things to work consistently. This prevented emotional buying decisions and protected my profit margins.
  3. Cost awareness: Every fee matters. Understanding the full cost structure including auction prices, shipping costs, and marketplace fees — was essential for maintaining profitability.
  4. Taking advantage of opportunities before they disappear: Markets naturally move toward efficiency. The narrowing price gap between marketplaces taught me that arbitrage opportunities have a limited window, and in general successful businesses must be able to recognize when conditions change or risk operating in a market that no longer exists.
  5. Value discovery: Just because something is being discarded by one group doesn’t mean it lacks value. Value often depends on who you’re selling to and what problem you’re solving for them.

Conclusion

This experience fundamentally shaped my approach to business opportunities, and to some degree, opportunities in live in general. It taught me to look for value in unexpected places and to think critically about market inefficiencies and discrepancies. The technical aspects of handling shipping logistics, and maintaining feasible profit margins provided practical business experience that in my opinion no classroom could really replicate.

More importantly, it demonstrated that age and experience aren’t barriers to finding market opportunities — sometimes a fresh perspective and willingness to explore unfamiliar markets can lead to profitable outcomes.
This experiment might seem small in scale, and in the grand scheme of things it definitely was, but it laid the groundwork for my own path in understanding larger market dynamics and recognizing future opportunities. It taught me that successful business ventures often start not with grand plans, but with careful observation of overlooked market inefficiencies and the discipline to execute systematically.

The story of the Kinect arbitrage serves as a reminder that opportunities exist in unexpected places — we just need the curiosity to find them and the discipline to execute effectively.

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Logan Jorgensen

My petty attempts at translating thoughts and ideas into words. Article topics include technology, finance, and other things I find interesting.